Roflgames

Posted by | May 21st, 2011

bit.ly – SBR moderator Justin7 is graciously sharing with Peter Loshak and SBR his stat models recommended plays in college football, and he got off to a great start in Week 5 last week, going 3-0. Loshak and Justin discussed various upcoming Week 6 Top 25 games of interest. Florida State is having a very unpredictable year, sometimes looking great as they did in their road win at BYU, but more often looking undisciplined as they have in various losses and sluggish recent performances. Justin7s stat model reflects that, as it does indicate a preference for #22 Georgia Tech at +2.5, but with too much volatility involved to justify a bet. It does agree with Loshaks lean to the over 54.5. There are two home dogs that caught Loshaks eye, with the lines possibly reflecting overreactions to the unexpected early-season success of the respective road faves involved. #24 Missouri is a 3-point home dog to #21 Nebraska. Nebraska has been winning and putting up good defensive numbers, but Justin points out that Nebraskas success has come against a very weak slate of opponents. Unranked Arkansas is also a 3-point home dog to #17 Auburn, a surprising team that is generating a lot of buzz right now. Air Force may have big trouble putting up points against #10 TCUs elite defense, while #2 Texas, at home off of a bye week facing Colorados weak D, has a big offensive day looming, and team totals may be the way to go in those games. #12 Iowa is looking solid, while Michigan is looking …